China’s Prospects after the 19th Communist Party Congress: Envisioning Multiple Scenarios

December 11, 2017 @ 9:00 am – December 13, 2017 @ 1:00 pm Europe/Rome Timezone
Villa Schifanoia
Via Giovanni Boccaccio
121, 50133 Firenze
Matthias Kindel


in co-operation with the Torino World Affairs Institute Image result for t.wai logo





Application deadline: 12 November 2017






Scientific Coordinators

Giorgia Giovannetti | European University Institute & University of Florence

Giovanni Andornino | University of Torino and Torino World Affairs Institute (T.wai)




This Executive Training Seminar brings together European and Chinese scholars with robust experience in strategic foresight to explore the most salient political and socio-economic trends currently defining China’s domestic transformations and her increasingly high-profile international posture. It offers outstanding international students, young scholars and professionals an intimate setting that encourages informal interaction and hands-on learning through scenario analysis.

Over the first two days of training participants will be exposed to a variety of perspectives on the strategic outcomes of the 19th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, as well as on Beijing’s evolving foreign policy, and the latest cycle of domestic reforms envisaged to adjust China to a ‘new normal’ phase of growth. This will include their impact on world trade, on regional and global macro-economic stability, and on international development. The increasingly ambitious economic, foreign and security policies pursued by the Chinese government will be examined in the context of the ‘One Belt, One Road’ initiative and the ‘Made in China 2025’ programme, President Xi Jinping’s signature propositions to enhance Eurasian connectivity and achieve the ‘Chinese dream’ of national rejuvenation.

In order to maximise the applied nature of this learning experience, the Executive Training Seminar then culminates in a half-day scenario-building exercise. In a very interactive session, participants identify and assess relevant macro-variables, isolate megatrends and critical uncertainties, articulate alternative ‘futures’, and discuss appropriate policies to steer from the ‘official future’ to their preferred scenario.


Giovanni Andornino – The Political Topography of the Chinese Party-State after the 19th CCP Congress

Fang Jin – China’s Domestic Economic Reforms: What Paths to Sustainable ‘National Rejuvenation’?

Giorgia Giovannetti – The BRI, Trade and China’s Sustainable Development Goals

Andrea Goldstein – China’s FDIs in the EU: Trends, Strategies, and European Reactions

Men Honghua – The Security Implications of China’s more ambitious Foreign Policy Posture

Katherine Morton – Can China Lead? Governing Security Risks along the Belt and Road





Training courses offered by the Academy of Global Governance are generally free of charge. Admission, though, is granted only on the basis of a successful application (APPLY HERE). Confirmed participants are expected to bear the costs of their travel and accommodation themselves.



There is a limited number of scholarships available, designed as contribution to the coverage of a participant’s travel and accommodation costs. These scholarships are strictly reserved to people from the least developed countries as defined by the United Nations. Application deadline for scholarships: 30 October 2017.