logo-eui RSCAS

China’s Prospects after the 19th Communist Party Congress: Envisioning Multiple Scenarios

11 December 2017 @ 9:00 am – 13 December 2017 @ 1:00 pm Europe/Rome Timezone
Villa Schifanoia
Via Giovanni Boccaccio
121, 50133 Firenze
Matthias Kindel


in co-operation with the t.wai Torino World Affairs Institute Image result for t.wai logo


Application deadline: 12 November 2017






Scientific Coordinators

Giorgia Giovannetti | European University Institute & University of Florence

Giovanni Andornino | University of Torino and Torino World Affairs Institute (T.wai)




This Executive Training Seminar brings together European and Chinese scholars with experience in strategic foresight, to cover economic, social and policy analysis of China’s recent dynamics and future development plans, with a highly interactive methodology.  Participants will be required to actively participate in the last part of the course, in order to translate what they have learnt into plausible scenarios.

Over the first two days of activities, participants will be exposed to a variety of perspectives on China’s latest cycle of domestic reforms, their impact on world trade, regional and global macro-economic stability, and international development. Beijing’s increasingly proactive economic, foreign and security policies will be examined in the context of the ’One Belt, One Road’ initiative and President Xi Jinping’s signature proposition to enhance Eurasian connectivity and foster growth, as well as in the context of the China 2025 programme.

The executive training then culminates in a half-day scenario-building exercise. Participants are led to identify and assess relevant macro-variables, isolating megatrends and critical uncertainties in order to articulate alternative ’futures’ and discuss appropriate policies to steer from the ‘official future’ to the preferred scenario. All speakers join in the exercise to maximise the learning impact and ensure that the different viewpoints are represented.


Giovanni Andornino – The Political Topography of the Chinese Party-State after the 19th CCP Congress

Fang Jin – China’s Domestic Economic Reforms: What Paths to Sustainable ‘National Rejuvenation’?

Giorgia Giovannetti – The BRI, Trade and China’s Sustainable Development Goals

Andrea Goldstein – China’s FDIs in the EU: Trends, Strategies, and European Reactions

Men Honghua – The Security Implications of China’s more ambitious Foreign Policy Posture


** KEYNOTE SPEECH: Enrico Letta (TBC) **




Training courses offered by the Academy of Global Governance are generally free of charge. Admission, though, is granted only on the basis of a successful application (APPLY HERE). Confirmed participants are expected to bear the costs of their travel and accommodation themselves.



There is a limited number of scholarships available, designed as contribution to the coverage of a participant’s travel and accommodation costs. These scholarships are strictly reserved to people from the least developed countries as defined by the United Nations. Application deadline for scholarships: 30 October 2017.