Mapping China’s Futures. A Scenario-Based Approach to Analyse China’s Socio-Political and Economic Dynamics over the Next Decade
Executive Training Seminar
12-14 May 2016
Scientific Coordinators: Giovanni Andornino | Torino World Affairs Institute (T.wai), University of Torino & Giorgia Giovannetti | European University Institute, University of Florence
In light of Beijing’s growing footprint across all realms of global governance, it is essential for international institutions, governments and the private sector understand the interplay between the domestic determinants of the PRC’s posture in world affairs, and the systemic constraints impacting on China’s own stability and development.
This Executive Training Seminar brought together European and Chinese scholars and practitioners with experience in strategic foresight consultancy for an intensive programme combining fresh insights into China’s political and socio-economic dynamics with a highly interactive methodology, challenging participants to translate acquired knowledge into applied policy analysis.
Over the first two days of activities, economic reforms (both domestic and foreign) were analysed, assessing their impact on world trade, regional and global macro-economic stability, international development, Pacific Ocean security and investment protection.
The Executive Training Seminar then culminated in a half-day long scenario-making exercise. Trainees were led to identify and assess relevant macro-variables, isolating megatrends and critical uncertainties in order to articulate alternative “futures” and discussed appropriate policies to steer from the “official future” to the preferred scenario. Speakers actively engaged with trainees to maximise the learning impact.
Giovanni Andornino | Torino World Affairs Institute (t.wai)
Giorgia Giovannetti | European University Institute, University of Florence
Fang Jin | China Development Research Foundation
Wang Dong | Beijing University
Qiyu Xu | National Defense University
AGG Training Coordinator
Tel.: +39 055 4685960